Charlie Hales shocked Portlanders when he announced he is withdrawing
from the mayor’s race. The decision was
political, politicians do not cede office without calculation, but it was also
honorable. The city is grappling with prosperity, and Hales will now focus on crafting a new comprehensive plan to
address the issues of rapid growth, rising rents and homelessness. Most mayors live for a revving tech sector and
lucrative real estate market, but Portland is different. It has, historian Carl Abbot writes, “a moral
political culture that values the public good over the individual.”
Four decades ago, Oregonians invested in the
novel idea that the judicious use of land could create a sustaining mix of
private capital and civic enterprise.
The investment is generating a considerable return. Portland is a magnet for the so-called
“creative class,” the knowledge workers that are crucial to the 21st century economy. In contrast to metropolitan areas of similar size (e.g. Austin and Minneapolis) attracting the creative
class, the Rose City does not have a major research institution. Its lure is a lively pedestrian-oriented,
bike friendly, nature infused urban environment that offers new venues for work
and leisure. In the past five years
software industry jobs have expanded by almost 70 percent, from
7,200 to over 12,000. The Pearl District alone has three
collaborative work centers—Central Office, We Work, and Desk Hub—that are key
indicators of a thriving tech sector. At the same time the Pearl’s rents have exploded,
rising nearly 50 percent in a year. My 1000 square foot unit rented for $1700 a month
one year ago—today it goes for $2500 a month.
Not surprisingly, the neighborhood is rife with
land sharks. At the local breakfast café
I feel I have been transported to Orlando circa 2006, as jargon filled discussions
mimic real estate infomercials: “set investment goals,” “secure return” and “outperform
the market.” The difference is the
product for sale. “Drivable
sub-urbanism,” as real estate expert Christopher Leinberger calls it, fueled
Orlando’s real estate bubble and bust.
“Walkable urbanism” is for sale in the Pearl District. The neighborhood's high walkscores www.walkscore.com signify that most daily needs can be met within walking
or rail transit distance. Rents and property values are higher, but when the car is an option Leinberger found walkable urbanism less costly than than owning a car and living in a suburban subdivison. http://www.smartgrowthamerica.org/documents/foot-traffic-ahead.pdf I make ends meet because I lives sans auto and rent my parking space
for $200 a month. Giving up the automoblie mitigates
the impact of high rents, but once the land sharks smell blood humanity
suffers.
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Cutthroat real estate speculation brought the
country to the edge of economic collapse in both the Great Depression and the Great
Recession. A skilled technocrat, Hales is
the one person who can ensure that a new comprehensive plan will direct
development for a future population (expected to grow by 200,000 in the next
twenty years) on lines that will procure sustainability, equity and
profit. There is a unique moral
dimension at play in Portland, and Hales' ability to navigate the perils of
prosperity will play to a much larger audience than the city’s 660,000
residents.
This summer the Mayor attended the Vatican
summit on climate change. Portland is a
prototype of the Promised Land Pope Francis envisions, a city where carbon is
in remission and nature is ascendant. Portland remains a work in progress, and reaching the Promised Land requires
a leader who must convince citizens not to worship the Golden Calf. Has a Portland Mayor ever had a greater exit?